OC HOUSING REPORT 6.20.17 – LOW SUPPLY

OC HOUSING REPORT 6.20.17 – LOW SUPPLY


The active listing inventory has been down all year and it is currently off by 14% compared to 2016.
Whew! It is tough to be a buyer looking for a home in today’s market. The biggest complaint is that there are simply not enough choices. In fact, nearly 1,200 fewer homes have come on the market so far this year compared to last year. The active inventory currently sits at 5,905 homes; 14% fewer than the 6,868 that were available this time last year.

The trend of fewer homes hitting the market dates back to the beginning of the Great Recession in 2008. Since then, fewer and fewer homeowners have placed a FOR SALE sign in their yard. This trend is nothing close to a blip on the radar screen. Something happened to everybody’s collective psyche during the drawn out and bruising recession. Homeowners are staying put.

This year has been off from last year, averaging 222 fewer homes placed on the market each month. As the half way point for the 2017 housing market rapidly approaches, the slower pace has added up. Buyers who have been working hard to secure a home without any luck can attest to the need for additional choices. Yet, the 222 year over year difference is nothing compared to the number of homes on the market during the first decade of the 2000’s. In 2006, there were 2,239 additional homes listed for sale each and every month.

Price is determined by supply and demand. When the same number of buyers are interested in purchasing a home, but the supply drops considerably, the highest bidder wins. As a result, prices rise. Essentially, that is what has happened over the past five years. In 2012, demand spiked; however, there were not enough homes on the market to satiate the voracious appetite of buyers. Home values have been on the rise ever since.

In past housing run-ups, homeowners have been encouraged and enticed to join the fray, eager to cash in on the market and make a move. That has not been the case during the current five year run. Homeowners have not been tempted to sell like they did from 2000 through 2007. We’ll see how this all plays out.


Recent Blog Posts

Stay up to date on the latest real estate trends.

Happy Enchilada

That's the Way the World Goes 'Round

Stalemate

Stalemate is a situation in the game of chess where the player whose turn it is to move is not in check and has no legal move. The game ends in a draw. Since the start… Read more

Prices Chase Away Home Buyers?

This was the sub-heading of a Daily Pilot article I came across as I was sorting through old archives in a home I recently purchased in Laguna Beach. The article was p… Read more

First Half 2021 vs. First Half 2020

OFF THE CHARTS When compiling year-over-year statistics, economists tend to work in single-digit percentages. For example, the U.S. GDP growth over the past few years … Read more

2020 Hindsight

2020 Hindsight I know I’m one of the lucky ones. No one in my immediate family has been directly affected by COVID 19, although my father’s 92-year-old twin brother an… Read more

Proposition 19 – What Is It?

Proposition 19 recently passed, amending California’s Constitution by expanding qualifications for the transfer of a property’s taxable value. Beginning April 1, 2021,… Read more

One Bonkers Year!

This year has simply been bonkers. And we still have over a month to go! The news of Kobe and Gianna was swept away by the tsunami of events that followed: the pandemi… Read more

So. Orange County Coastal Sales: First Half 2020

SOUTH ORANGE COUNTY COASTAL HOUSING IN DEMAND Despite the economy being shut down for the majority of 2020, housing along the coast of South Orange County has done exc… Read more

Silver Lining in Housing Market

I think we can all agree that a bit of good news is welcome. My gig is working in the residential real estate market, particularly along the coastal towns of South Ora… Read more

Let's Talk

You’ve got questions and we can’t wait to answer them.